The Great Moderation is the name given to the period of decreased macroeconomic volatility experienced in the United States starting in the 1980s. During this period, the standard deviation of quarterly real gross domestic product (GDP) declined by half and the standard deviation of inflation declined by two-thirds according to figures reported by U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. The Great Moderation can be summed up as a multi-decade period of low inflation and positive economic growth.
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